Polls and Early Voting!
As of September 21, Senator McCain leads by an average of 6 points in Ohio, but what does that mean on Election Day? Will the McCain/Palin lead hold until Election Day 42 days from now? A better question may be: How far ahead will McCain be in 9 days when the election really starts in Ohio?
Yes, with absentee and early voting, elections begin in 9 days with up to 33% of Ohio voters voting in advance of Election Day. The question for the Obama campaign is: Could a big lead for Senator McCain at that point eliminate Senator Obama’s ability to make up the difference in the days that remain?
Republicans and the Ohio House
In the past 30 days, Senator McCain and Governor Palin have taken a 10 point deficit and turned it into a 6 point lead. As a result, prospects for the Republicans to retain control of the Ohio House seem to be improving. Recent polling shows the generic ballot narrowing in competitive districts and Democrat-held seats previously thought unwinnable this year are now ripe for the picking.